10pm temp. At 6350’ in Carnelian Bay: 28.2 deg. & 84% RH

No info from the backcountry today.

Forecast/current weather thoughts:

It finally feels like winter is here with consistently colder temperatures since Saturday. Lows in the twenties and highs in the upper thirties to maybe 40 for only a few hours. Now if we can just get some precipitation…

Models continue to be shaky in the long term, but continue showing something affecting Tahoe every few days or so. The next storm comes tomorrow night through early am Thursday. Both the GFS and Euro are consistently betting on a solid few inches to a foot or so in the Tahoe Sierra with snow at all elevations.

Additional snowfall looks to come around the weekend, but confidence in that system’s strength is low. Could do the cutoff dance again.

So far this season it feels like the cutoff low has reigned which makes predictability tough. Getting a system with a strong jet phasing with subtropical moisture and a North Pacific low just seems impossible. Such a difference from last season.

Either way, the next few days hold hope for more snow, so I eagerly await the outcome.