0600 temp. At 6350’ in Carnelian Bay: 37.6 deg.

0.01” rain overnight

No backcountry obs.

Weather and forecast thoughts:

I planned to tour this morning, but the mostly clear radar steered me elsewhere. If anything fell last night, it probably totaled and inch or two. Remote sensors show gusty winds and temps. in the 20’s in the backcountry. Based off the antecedent surface conditions, crusts and hard surfaces seem all but certain until the current system drops some snow.

Today dawned around the lake with broken skies and gusty winds with temps. in the mid 30’s. Models continue to show the storm coming in throughout the day and lasting through tomorrow before the second round gets going Sun. night and Mon. Not much has changed in terms of higher snow levels (6500-7500′), QPF, and track. The timing of both systems has been pushed back, so hopefully that accounts for the lackluster performance overnight, rather than a disintegrating storm. Most organized precip. remains NW of the area, so for now it’s a waiting game.

Longer range forecasts still show another mild system coming in mid-late next week followed by a warming and drying trend late week through the end of the month.